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super draw time again
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09-15-2009, 08:30 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-15-2009 08:34 PM by Frank.)
Post: #4
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RE: super draw time again
Actually, theres no reason why repeat analysis can't be done on Euromillions (main balls only). I have already modified my lotto version to check Euromillions for good repeat skip values and bad ones.
It is interesting to compare the probabilities of a number from one result appearing in another result for the two lotteries (and hence in the one to come). In the Lotto around about 54% of draws have at least one number repeated to another draw so many skips away. So slightly more than 50/50 chance of a repeat. In Euromillions its slightly less as theres an extra number and less balls are drawn, about 42% of the current draws have main ball repeats to other draws in Euromillions at various skip values. So a little less than 50/50 chance of a repeat. For both lotteries the percentage hardly varies regardless of how many draws you skip. For Euromillions it is still possible to find values of skip which result in the past 5 draws consecutively having repeats from a block of 5 draws in the past and I would think maybe these skips should be avoided as you might think its time for such a lucky run (given the above odds) to end. So I've looked at the bad skip values where for 5 draws in a row there have been NO repeats to a future block, hoping that this will change in the next draw. There are only 10 such bad skip values. These are 81,139,239,33,74,77,90,255,61,71. The table containing the results corresponding to those skips in in the attached image euroskips.gif. My software has also changed the order of the balls from left to right in order of which balls are most overdue to repeat with that value of skip. The leftmost balls are most overdue, first two cols are in red. By giving thes balls greater importance in my system I ended up with a shortlist. Ball No.-- Freq in the grid 8----- 4 20----- 4 27----- 4 5----- 3 9----- 3 29----- 3 40----- 3 42----- 3 46----- 3 1----- 2 7----- 2 10----- 2 12----- 2 14----- 2 21----- 2 22----- 2 26----- 2 32----- 2 34----- 2 35----- 2 39----- 2 45----- 2 3----- 1 4----- 1 6----- 1 13----- 1 16----- 1 17----- 1 31----- 1 33----- 1 37----- 1 38----- 1 44----- 1 47----- 1 49----- 1 50----- 1 2----- 0 11----- 0 15----- 0 18----- 0 19----- 0 23----- 0 24----- 0 25----- 0 28----- 0 30----- 0 36----- 0 41----- 0 43----- 0 48----- 0 The top of the list with the highest score are favourites, with the zeroes at the bottom in my elimination list. How does this compare with my other spreadsheet using 'normal' analysis ? Well there are a few similarities and using bOTH systems I'm compiling a smaller shortlisy of main balls. Watch this space for those findings PS then theres the slight problem of choosing lucky numbers ! |
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| Messages In This Thread |
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super draw time again - valelli - 09-12-2009, 10:21 PM
RE: super draw time again - Frank - 09-13-2009, 11:05 PM
RE: super draw time again - valelli - 09-14-2009, 01:34 AM
RE: super draw time again - Frank - 09-15-2009 08:30 PM
RE: super draw time again - Frank - 09-17-2009, 07:49 AM
RE: super draw time again - valelli - 09-17-2009, 10:46 PM
RE: super draw time again - David - 09-18-2009, 09:00 PM
RE: super draw time again - David - 09-19-2009, 03:40 PM
RE: super draw time again - Frank - 09-19-2009, 07:27 PM
RE: super draw time again - valelli - 09-19-2009, 07:59 PM
RE: super draw time again - Frank - 09-19-2009, 09:52 PM
RE: super draw time again - valelli - 09-20-2009, 02:20 AM
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