Maureen's Thunderball Selections

14112013, 10:02 PM
(This post was last modified: 14052014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #1




Maureen's Thunderball Selections
I have decided to have a go at Thunderball with an online bookmaker; and I shall be playing "Pick One Main Number".
I shall choose 4 numbers each draw, and I shall place a bet of 50p on each of these numbers. Today I have opened an account with the bookmaker, and I have deposited 10 into this account. I shall top it up with ?5 every Thursday. As there are 3 draws every week, it will cost me 6 per week; so I shall need an occasional win to keep me going beyond five weeks! If one of my selected numbers is drawn as a Main Ball in the Thunderball draw, then 3 will be returned to my account. Tomorrow (Fri 15 Nov 2013) is my first attempt, and these are the 4 numbers I have selected: 10  16  25  36 The balance in my account is now ?8. 

16112013, 08:12 AM
(This post was last modified: 14052014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #2




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Not a very propitious start, but I'll keep plodding on.
My selections for tonight's draw (Sat 16 Nov) are: 1  21  25  38 The balance in my account is now 6. 

16112013, 11:59 AM
Post: #3




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Thank you for posting your numbers Maureen. It should prove interesting to Thunderball players to see how you get on.


20112013, 07:12 PM
(This post was last modified: 14052014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #4




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
I've never been any good at choosing winning lottery numbers.
My selections for tonight (Wed 20 Nov) are: 13  15  25  33 The balance in my account is now 4. I'm wondering if I would have more chance of turning my 2 into 3 if I played two lines of Thunderball with Camelot. But I don't really know how to work out odds/chances etc; so I cannot make a comparison. 

21112013, 02:24 PM
(This post was last modified: 14052014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #5




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Tell us which bookmaker you are using, then I can tell you the odds for "Pick One Main Number". Should be easy to compare with Camelot where the odds of winning any prize are 1 in 13, but you have to pay at least a 1 for a line.


21112013, 06:28 PM
Post: #6




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Thanks, Frank.
I am using Betfred. I don't know if any other bookies do the Thunderball lottery. 

22112013, 01:23 PM
(This post was last modified: 14052014 03:44 PM by Len.)
Post: #7




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Right Maureen, in interesting comparison. Betfred say their fixed odds for pick one are 5 to 1. However, you say that if you win for a 50p stake you win 3. This means they must be returning your 50p stake plus your 2.50 win.
The REAL odds against getting a pick one right in Thunderball are 6.8 to 1, in other words you have one chance in 7.8 of winning 3 This means that the 2 you spand at Betfred give you four chances in 7.8 to win 3. So your chances of winning are roughly 50/50. Over 1000 draws you would spend 2000 and you would win 1500, assuming just luck and no special skill. If you were to play Thunderball at 1 per line, you have about a one in 13 chance of a prize of at least 3. Playing 2 lines you have 2 chances in 13 of winning at least 3. Over 1000 draws you would spend 2000 and stand a chance of winning at least 1000. Remember that you could win a prize of any value during this time, up to a value of 500,000 . So you could become rich playing Thunderball, or expect to lose half your money over time. Compare that with never becoming rich with Betfred, but definitely losing a quarter of your money, unless you have a skill that beats the odds. 

23112013, 04:46 AM
Post: #8




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Thank you, Frank. You have explained that very clearly.
What seems to be certain is that I do not have a skill that beats the odds. Another losing night last Wednesday. And I have been mulling over this for so long that I have forgotten to play the Friday night Thunderball draw. 

23112013, 07:09 PM
Post: #9




RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
I've bought 2 Thunderball tickets for tonight's draw (Sat 23 Nov) :
06  14  23  26  39 Thunderball 12 02  03  05  07  36 Thunderball 04 If I had stayed with the online bookmaker, I would have chosen the 4 emboldened numbers. 

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