Post Reply 
 
Thread Rating:
  • 1 Vote(s) - 4 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Maureen's Thunderball Selections
14-11-2013, 10:02 PM (This post was last modified: 14-05-2014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #1
Maureen's Thunderball Selections
I have decided to have a go at Thunderball with an online bookmaker; and I shall be playing "Pick One Main Number".

I shall choose 4 numbers each draw, and I shall place a bet of 50p on each of these numbers.

Today I have opened an account with the bookmaker, and I have deposited 10 into this account. I shall top it up with ?5 every Thursday.

As there are 3 draws every week, it will cost me 6 per week; so I shall need an occasional win to keep me going beyond five weeks! If one of my selected numbers is drawn as a Main Ball in the Thunderball draw, then 3 will be returned to my account.

Tomorrow (Fri 15 Nov 2013) is my first attempt, and these are the 4 numbers I have selected:

10 - 16 - 25 - 36

The balance in my account is now ?8.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
16-11-2013, 08:12 AM (This post was last modified: 14-05-2014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #2
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Not a very propitious start, but I'll keep plodding on.

My selections for tonight's draw (Sat 16 Nov) are:

1 - 21 - 25 - 38

The balance in my account is now 6.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
16-11-2013, 11:59 AM
Post: #3
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Thank you for posting your numbers Maureen. It should prove interesting to Thunderball players to see how you get on. Ylsuper
Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
20-11-2013, 07:12 PM (This post was last modified: 14-05-2014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #4
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
I've never been any good at choosing winning lottery numbers.

My selections for tonight (Wed 20 Nov) are:

13 - 15 - 25 - 33

The balance in my account is now 4.

I'm wondering if I would have more chance of turning my 2 into 3 if I played two lines of Thunderball with Camelot.

But I don't really know how to work out odds/chances etc; so I cannot make a comparison.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
21-11-2013, 02:24 PM (This post was last modified: 14-05-2014 03:43 PM by Len.)
Post: #5
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Tell us which bookmaker you are using, then I can tell you the odds for "Pick One Main Number". Should be easy to compare with Camelot where the odds of winning any prize are 1 in 13, but you have to pay at least a 1 for a line.
Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
21-11-2013, 06:28 PM
Post: #6
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Thanks, Frank.

I am using Betfred. I don't know if any other bookies do the Thunderball lottery.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
22-11-2013, 01:23 PM (This post was last modified: 14-05-2014 03:44 PM by Len.)
Post: #7
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Right Maureen, in interesting comparison. Betfred say their fixed odds for pick one are 5 to 1. However, you say that if you win for a 50p stake you win 3. This means they must be returning your 50p stake plus your 2.50 win.
The REAL odds against getting a pick one right in Thunderball are 6.8 to 1, in other words you have one chance in 7.8 of winning 3

This means that the 2 you spand at Betfred give you four chances in 7.8 to win 3. So your chances of winning are roughly 50/50.

Over 1000 draws you would spend 2000 and you would win 1500, assuming just luck and no special skill.

If you were to play Thunderball at 1 per line, you have about a one in 13 chance of a prize of at least 3. Playing 2 lines you have 2 chances in 13 of winning at least 3.

Over 1000 draws you would spend 2000 and stand a chance of winning at least 1000. Remember that you could win a prize of any value during this time, up to a value of 500,000 .

So you could become rich playing Thunderball, or expect to lose half your money over time. Compare that with never becoming rich with Betfred, but definitely losing a quarter of your money, unless you have a skill that beats the odds. Icon_coolIcon_razz
Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
23-11-2013, 04:46 AM
Post: #8
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
Thank you, Frank. You have explained that very clearly.

What seems to be certain is that I do not have a skill that beats the odds. Another losing night last Wednesday.

And I have been mulling over this for so long that I have forgotten to play the Friday night Thunderball draw.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
23-11-2013, 07:09 PM
Post: #9
RE: Maureen's Thunderball Selections
I've bought 2 Thunderball tickets for tonight's draw (Sat 23 Nov) :-

06 - 14 - 23 - 26 - 39 Thunderball 12
02 - 03 - 05 - 07 - 36 Thunderball 04

If I had stayed with the online bookmaker, I would have chosen the 4 emboldened numbers.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 


Forum Jump:


User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)

Registration Agreement
Terms & conditions